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Governor Gavin films a basement hostage video to announce he’s under federal investigation, then heroically declines to mention what for. His own leaked memo doesn’t know either.
JUN 17READ IN APP
Good morning, C&C family, itβs Wednesday! Your special California edition roundup today includes: a sitting governor who called a press conference to announce that he is, personally, a criminal suspectβ a bold marketing strategy normally avoided by criminal suspects; a four-minute-and-forty-two-second basement selfie video, shot in a lighting style weβll call Hostage, in which Newsom bravely reveals heβs under federal investigation while heroically declining to mention for what; a leaked talking-points memo whose first question is βwhat is he being investigated for?β and whose first answer is βand I am not making this upβ essentially βgood question, ask the DOJβ; millions that mysteriously wandered into his wifeβs feminism-themed nonprofit and somehow never wandered back out; a Native American tribe that donated nearly two million dollars at right about the moment Gavin took its side in a casino fight, which is either a remarkable coincidence or a remarkable non-coincidence; a former chief of staff who just pleaded guilty to Fraud and Lying, which would make an excellent name for a punk rock band; and the governorβs central thesis that the most powerful man on Earth is personally terrified of him, despite said man not appearing on any ballot Gavin will ever reach, even on his best day. Grab a glove and your petroleum jelly. Itβs probing time.
ππΊπΈ ESSENTIAL NEWS AND COMMENTARY πΊπΈπ
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The Empire of Fraud is collapsing. The man who locked Californians in their homes, shuttered their businesses, and kept their kids out of school βwhile dining maskless at the French Laundryβ is now claiming heβs the victim. Yesterday, the LA Times ran a story consuming more media oxygen this week than even the fanciful imaginings over the Iran dealβs terms, headlined, βNewsom seeks political advantage in probe he says Trump ordered.β I wonder whether the innuendo was accidental. Trump ordered Newsomβs probe. Alrighty then. Bend over and cough.

Dressed like the keynote speaker at a morticiansβ conference about to deliver an off-color joke about embalming fluid, in a (selfie?) video apparently filmed in a dark basement, California Governor Gavin Newsom βone of the few surviving pandemic Lockdown Queensβ βproudlyβ announced on Monday that he is under investigation by the Department of Justice and the Internal Revenue Service.
βToday, my wife and I joined Donald Trumpβs hit list,β Newsom admits in the clip. βHe has directed his Department of Justice to investigate us.β He said he found out because investigators have been questioning, probing, and even arresting his friends and neighbors. For at least a year.So β¦ why pick now to come out of the closet?
Regular readers will remember that we covered last year the swirl of investigations and criminal prosecutions of staff, activists, and officials surrounding Newsom. Gossip and speculation about whether the governor himself is a target has been a regular feature of Sacramento politics for at least that long. The DOJ has never said.

π₯ The LA Times scared up an expert, a professor of political science at UC San Diego who narrated Newsomβs unlikely brilliance at turning a federal criminal investigation into a branding opportunity. βHe seems to be wearing this as a badge of honor because his brand is being the strongest opponent of Donald Trump,β explained professor Thad Kousser.
Maybe it will work with the partisan Democrat base. All that the base cares about is standing up to Trump, so if Newsom says heβs being investigated βnormally a pretty awful selling pointβ then donors like him that much better. Call it the Graham Platner effect.
Maybe the most remarkable feature of Newsomβs aimless five-minute rant βwhich was nearly unquotable due to its fuzzy insubstantialityβ was a conspicuous omission. Newsom never actually said what he or his wife Jennifer were being investigated for. In a similar startling development, yesterday, Axios covered the story and linked a leaked talking-points memo that Newsom apparently sent in private to national Democrats.
Look at this! The very first entry in Newsomβs leaked memoβs Q&A section:

The very first Q&A question was a good start: βWhat exactly is the DOJ investigating?β But the answer was: no answer. βThatβs a question Trumpβs Department of Justice needs to answer.β But why? Does he really want the DOJ answering that?
Anyway. Newsom clearly knew that the very first thing anyone βeven his alliesβ would wonder after watching his badly produced video is: what exactly has he been accused of? He deflected to the DOJ. But DOJ has never admitted thereβs an investigation in the first place, as Newsom obviously knows, so heβs chucking the question right into a narrative black hole.
One can understand his reluctance. One doesnβt want to start giving prosecutors ideas they might not come up with on their own. But it backfired, at least to the extent that it has forced even friendly corporate media to fill in the blanks by suggesting possibilities.
π₯ Gavinβs wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom, has apparently been involved in some sketchy NGO shenanigans that washed money into the coupleβs personal finances more efficiently than the senior wait staff at the French Laundry could. Some of that money came from donors who later benefited from Newsomβs decisions. Which is not just potential bribery but also tax fraudβprecisely what they nabbed Al Capone for.

Bravely empowering women, one wire transfer at a time
Here, for just one example, is how CNN veered into speculation about Newsomβs Empire of Fraud, and even, dare I say it, did some investigative journalism:

Newsom could have offered a strawman explanation, however silly, and kept control of the narrative. They claim Iβm a warlock, but I never went to Hogwarts or owned a wand. But this β¦ gossamer nothingness?
Inviting even friendly media sources to figure out for themselves what the investigation is all about seems like an unforced error.
βThis is something that could lead to other elements that blow up, so thereβs a risk,β David McCuan, a Sonoma State political science professor, told the LA Times. βItβs a long-running game,β McCuan added. βItβs just the Newsom first couple has perfected it and moved it forward.β
My best guess as to why Newsom refused to say what heβs being investigated for is that his lawyers told him not to talk about it. And so the media is filling in the holes.
π₯ Over the previous few months, the Sacramento Bee and others have reported over $3.7 million flowing from one of Jenniferβs several non-profits into Jenniferβs for-profit company (she hired herself) from the NGO ecosystem, while large donors like PG&E, AT&T, Kaiser, Blue Shield, and others got large contracts, regulatory forbearance, or other preferential treatment from the state.
Other platforms reported that Gavin personally solicited donations to his wifeβs companies. In one case, he ultimately routed another $4 million into Jenniferβs charitable film company, which promotes feminism. In another looming scandal, a tribe donated $1.8 million to Jenniferβs charities, at the exact same time that Gavin conveniently took the tribeβs side against a different tribe in a casino dispute.
Donβt cancel me, Iβm not alleging anything. This is all the stuff corporate media keeps surfacing. Media, like nature, abhors a vacuum. Since neither Newsom nor the DOJ is saying what Newsom might be under investigation for, the media is being forced to do something that, back in the old days, it used to do naturally: investigate.

My analysis is that Newsom is not playing 4-D chess badly. It seems much more likely that something forced his hand. Something like finding out a key witness is cooperating, somebody turned stateβs evidence, or that he stupidly left the political murder weapon on top of the dryer at the grift laundromat. Hereβs the summary of my evidence:
- Public knowledge that the DOJ investigation was ongoing is not new (at least, in California politics) or even stretches back to the Biden era. (C&C covered itΒ last year.)
- Gavinβs video was poorly produced, suggesting it wasΒ rushedΒ rather than carefully planned. (Newsomβs leaked βtalking points memoβ also has a rushed look about it; Iβd say that it was AI-generated except that AI could have done a better job.)
- The βcampaignβ left a gaping narrative vacuum for media to fill.
- Events seem to be overtaking the oleaginous governor. Yesterday, the Sacramento Bee reported Newsom was fined for violations related to many of the alleged βdonationsβ:Β βNewsom fined by campaign finance watchdog just prior to DOJ probe announcement.β
- The governorβs inner circle is compromised andΒ may be cooperating. Last month, Newsomβs former chief of staff, Dana Williamson, pleaded guilty to bank fraud and wire conspiracy.
- In his selfie video, Newsom said FBI and IRS agents were knocking on doors of βfamily friends and former employeesβΒ last week, demanding records.
- If this were a narrative strategy heβd been working on for months, heβd have a clear origin story, trial balloons, surveys, and media consensus lined upΒ beforeΒ he went public.
And one more thingβ there is zero evidence that Newsomβs narrative is working, even with Democrats. During 2021β2023, whenever Bidenβs prosecutors moved against Trump, we saw wallβtoβwall coverage all over social media from real voters: rallyβgoers on camera, manβonβtheβstreet interviews in diners, memes, MAGA folks protesting outside courthouses and vowing, βthis makes me support Trump even more,β βtheyβre only going after him because he is in the way,β βthis is bullsβt,β et cetera.

At the time, polls showed over 75% of Republicans believed that the federal charges against Trump were fake and politically motivated. His primary numbers improved after the indictments. So β¦ where are Gavinβs polls? At the same moment his βexpertsβ are insisting this scandal is rocket fuel for his presidential campaign, the one thing conspicuously absent from the record is any actual measurement of whether voters actually buy his effeminiate martyrdom story.
In other words, Newsom and his elite allies are trying to steal Trumpβs 2021-2023 formula, as if it were just a secret recipe of talking points that can bake corruption slime into consensus cookiesβ but it isnβt working. The cookies are burning into toxic sludge. Meanwhile, Democrats who cheered weaponization against Trump for four years are failing to convince anyone of a new βtyrannyβ narrative.
The only people claiming Californians βrelishβ the governorβs attacks on Trump are his own allies, college professors, and the same parrot-like political analysts who always plug his policies. Ordinary Newsom fans βvotersβ donβt appear in these stories at all.
So here are our two choices: either (1) believe the governorβs simplistic βIβm the real victim hereβ explanation βTrump forced me to defend myself in publicβ or (2) consider instead that Trump forced Newsom to attempt a humiliating limited hangout without actually hanging anything out except the lame excuse that βTrump fears me.β
I think itβs the second one. I highly doubt Trump fears Newsom. Trump isnβt even on the 2028 ballot. Whatβs he supposed to be afraid of?
In other words, Newsom, feeling the probe drive in a little further than he expected, flinched and tried to turn a wince into a war cry.
Have a terrific Wednesday! As we will see tomorrow, DOJ/FBI breathing down Gavinβs neck isnβt even close to the flood of prosecutions and investigations coming down the pike. Donβt miss another delightful roundup of essential news and caffeinated commentary.
phrase
US, informal
: to allow events to happen without trying to change them βusually used to suggest that one is willing to accept a result, whatever it may be
I will run the best campaign I can, then let the chips fall where they may.
You reap what you sowπ
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